Kolb-List Digest Archive

Sat 08/13/05


Total Messages Posted: 25



Today's Message Index:
----------------------
 
     1. 12:17 AM - Re: Hello (Icrashrc@aol.com)
     2. 06:21 AM - Re: Twin Engine Firestar 2 (Christopher Armstrong)
     3. 06:40 AM - Re: Hello (Mitty)
     4. 06:42 AM - Oshkosh (Mitty)
     5. 06:51 AM - Re: Twin Engine Firestar 2 (Kirk Smith)
     6. 08:01 AM - Re: Hello (Richard Pike)
     7. 09:44 AM - The 447 - Part Two (skyrider2)
     8. 11:24 AM - [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available! (Email List Photo Shares)
     9. 11:55 AM - Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available! (dama)
    10. 12:05 PM - Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available! (John Hauck)
    11. 12:43 PM - Re: Twin Engine Firestar 2 (Jim Baker)
    12. 12:46 PM - Re: Twin Engine Firestar 2 (Jim Baker)
    13. 01:36 PM - Re: Twin Engine Firestar 2 (PATRICK LADD)
    14. 01:44 PM - Re: the 447 - Part Two (PATRICK LADD)
    15. 02:10 PM - Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available! (ElleryWeld@aol.com)
    16. 02:40 PM - Long XC in Original FS (John Hauck)
    17. 02:45 PM - Website Update (John Williamson)
    18. 03:32 PM - Re: Website Update (John Hauck)
    19. 04:36 PM - Re: the 447 - Part Two (Beauford)
    20. 05:01 PM - Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available! (Kirk Smith)
    21. 07:01 PM - Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available! (ElleryWeld@aol.com)
    22. 07:35 PM - Firestar Adverse Roll (John Hauck)
    23. 08:07 PM - Re: Firestar Adverse Roll (ElleryWeld@aol.com)
    24. 08:20 PM - Re: Firestar Adverse Roll (John Hauck)
    25. 09:15 PM - Re: Twin Engine Firestar 2 (Christopher Armstrong)
 
 
 


Message 1


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    Time: 12:17:16 AM PST US
    From: Icrashrc@aol.com
    Subject: Re: Hello
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: Icrashrc@aol.com Mitty, The Kolb homecoming is when all the Kolb airplanes fly back to the factory. They do this so the Kolb pilots can visit with each other. The friendly people at the Kolb factory knows when this is going to happen every year so they have food and entertainment arranged. The Kolb airplanes have all been programmed to do this magical feat on September 23, 24, and 25. :-) Russ, Ooops. do not archive jdmurr@juno.com, I found out the first time I was ever in a plane that my RC experience was helpful. On the other hand it was a T6 Texan so the wingloading was a little higher than I was used too! Ralph, 2 1/2 hours! Wow. I already have 6 hours logged. 3 in a Challenger so I don't know if those count or not. LOL Paul Petty, Yes, Paul Ditsler and I brought the 1/6 scale Firefly. He did most of the work on that one. I just helped with the engineering and power system. We'll have the Firefly with us this year too. It flies very well now. Are the flaps normally hard to operate on the Kolbra or is it a leverage issue? At less than 2 lb. the flap actuator looks like a reasonable solution. To all. I forgot to add a link in my first message. Those that are interested can surf over to http://www.picturetrail.com/gallery/view?icrashrc Just a few pictures there that I've taken over the years... Scott Thompson DO NOT ARCHIVE


    Message 2


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    Time: 06:21:36 AM PST US
    From: "Christopher Armstrong" <tophera@centurytel.net>
    Subject: Twin Engine Firestar 2
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "Christopher Armstrong" <tophera@centurytel.net> Just based on being around ultralights and very light planes powered by 2-strokes since 1983 my experience with Cuyuna and Rotax and only what I have heard about Hirth. The 503 has earned my respect as the most reliable of the 2-stroke twins by far (and its record isn't much to brag about). The Hirth engines have never achieved nearly the same level of reliability. I wish they would since they are very powerful and light, and affordable. But they have not. Running two engines doubles your chance of engine failure... simply because you have two engines. If each of those engines is twice as likely to have a problem you are up to 4 times, and I think that is about right. If the engines share any systems, fuel, electrical, or mechanical in the form of overlapping props then odds are you might have both engines fail at the same time as well. Will a Firestar fly well with one 30 horse engine off center? (I read belt drives and think of the old one I used to fly with the built in centrifugal clutch, which is why I was thinking that the prop would be windmilling. I suppose the new Hirth belt drive doesn't use a clutch.) Probably not too bad, but it will not be perfect. The key line of my post was the last one though, where I said I think it is a great idea, and I am looking forward to see the results. That line wasn't supposed to be taken too cynically (the rest was, at least a bit.) I do think it is a great idea and I do hope it works well. Christopher Armstrong -----Original Message----- From: owner-kolb-list-server@matronics.com [mailto:owner-kolb-list-server@matronics.com] On Behalf Of woody Subject: Re: Kolb-List: Twin Engine Firestar 2 --> Kolb-List message posted by: "woody" <duesouth@govital.net> > I think that this project has a very good chance of resulting in an engine > out since you are trading the very best two-stroke out there for two with a > less then stellar record, Please explain that comment and give facts to prove the statement. Just curious.


    Message 3


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    Time: 06:40:13 AM PST US
    From: Mitty <benny_bee_01@yahoo.com>
    Subject: Re: Hello
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: Mitty <benny_bee_01@yahoo.com> Gotcha Icrashrc :) Good think you explained.What RC do you fly? Do not archive --- Icrashrc@aol.com wrote: > --> Kolb-List message posted by: Icrashrc@aol.com > > Mitty, > The Kolb homecoming is when all the Kolb > airplanes fly back to the > factory. They do this so the Kolb pilots can visit > with each other. The friendly > people at the Kolb factory knows when this is going > to happen every year so > they have food and entertainment arranged. The Kolb > airplanes have all been > programmed to do this magical feat on September 23, > 24, and 25. :-) > > Russ, > Ooops. do not archive > > jdmurr@juno.com, > I found out the first time I was ever in > a plane that my RC > experience was helpful. On the other hand it was a > T6 Texan so the wingloading was > a little higher than I was used too! > > Ralph, > 2 1/2 hours! Wow. I already have 6 hours > logged. 3 in a Challenger > so I don't know if those count or not. LOL > > Paul Petty, > Yes, Paul Ditsler and I brought the > 1/6 scale Firefly. He did > most of the work on that one. I just helped with the > engineering and power > system. We'll have the Firefly with us this year > too. It flies very well now. > Are the flaps normally hard to operate on > the Kolbra or is it a > leverage issue? At less than 2 lb. the flap actuator > looks like a reasonable > solution. > > To all. I forgot to add a link in my first message. > Those that are interested > can surf over to > > http://www.picturetrail.com/gallery/view?icrashrc > Just a few pictures there that I've taken over the > years... > > Scott Thompson > > DO NOT ARCHIVE > > > > browse > Subscriptions page, > FAQ, > > > > > >


    Message 4


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    Time: 06:42:19 AM PST US
    From: Mitty <benny_bee_01@yahoo.com>
    Subject: Oshkosh
    0.06 FROM_HAS_ULINE_NUMS From": contains.an.underline.and.numbers/letters@roxy.matronics.com --> Kolb-List message posted by: Mitty <benny_bee_01@yahoo.com> Hello fellows.If anybody interested I got about two dozen pictures from OSHKOSH.Three of my friends went to see the planes and brought 1500 pics back.I have selected ones. I can upload them to the forum or attach to messages.Admin,let me know if i can. Mitty


    Message 5


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    Time: 06:51:10 AM PST US
    From: "Kirk Smith" <snuffy@usol.com>
    Subject: Re: Twin Engine Firestar 2
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "Kirk Smith" <snuffy@usol.com> . Running two engines doubles your chance of engine failure... > simply because you have two engines. Must be why there are so many twin engine planes. Sort of like saying 2 sets of mags doubles your chances of mag failure. Do not archive


    Message 6


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    Time: 08:01:36 AM PST US
    From: Richard Pike <richard@bcchapel.org>
    Subject: Re: Hello
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: Richard Pike <richard@bcchapel.org> Went and looked at your pictures, can not figure out where the East Tennessee Ultralight field is at. Thought I knew of all the ultralight strips east of Morristown, but maybe not? Or maybe it is not east of Morristown? (Which is what we locals mean when we talk about East Tennessee...) Anyway, where is it? PS - here is a link to fly-in's in East Tennessee this fall - http://users.planetc.com/pensinger/ click on "activities" Come see us - Richard Pike MKIII N420P (420ldPoops) At 03:16 AM 8/13/05 -0400, you wrote: >--> Kolb-List message posted by: Icrashrc@aol.com ><snip> >To all. I forgot to add a link in my first message. Those that are interested >can surf over to > http://www.picturetrail.com/gallery/view?icrashrc >Just a few pictures there that I've taken over the years... > >Scott Thompson > >DO NOT ARCHIVE


    Message 7


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    Time: 09:44:16 AM PST US
    From: "skyrider2" <skyrider2@earthlink.net>
    Subject: The 447 - Part Two
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "skyrider2" <skyrider2@earthlink.net> Beauford, I'm really sorry that you've had such problems with the 447. I don't have much experience with that engine, only had one plane with a 447 on it, back in the 80's and it was a demonstrator that was sold before we put 20 hours on it. But if the VISA bill isn't too steep, it'll all be worth it to you when you get your bird back in the air. And for me, getting to read your excellent rendition, creative writing at it's finest, had me ROTFLMAO. You shoud write a book.......... Fly Safely, Doug Lawton NE Georgia & Whitwell TN Matthews Field and Gliderport


    Message 8


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    Time: 11:24:58 AM PST US
    Subject: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available!
    From: Email List Photo Shares <pictures@matronics.com>
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: Email List Photo Shares <pictures@matronics.com> A new Email List Photo Share is available: Poster: Ellery Batchelder Jr <ElleryWeld@aol.com> Lists: Kolb-List,Ultralight-List Subject: REBUILD on ORIGINAL FIRESTAR http://www.matronics.com/photoshare/ElleryWeld@aol.com.08.13.2005/index.html o Main Photo Share Index http://www.matronics.com/photoshare o Submitting a Photo Share If you wish to submit a Photo Share of your own, please include the following information along with your email message and files: 1) Email List or Lists that they are related to: 2) Your Full Name: 3) Your Email Address: 4) One line Subject description: 5) Multi-line, multi-paragraph description of topic: 6) One-line Description of each photo or file: Email the information above and your files and photos to: pictures@matronics.com


    Message 9


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    Time: 11:55:47 AM PST US
    From: "dama" <dama@mindspring.com>
    Subject: Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available!
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "dama" <dama@mindspring.com> Thanks for sharing, Ellery. That Firestar looks like, well...it's on fire... Kip do not archive http://www.springeraviation.net/ ----- Original Message ----- From: "Email List Photo Shares" <pictures@matronics.com> Subject: Kolb-List: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available! > --> Kolb-List message posted by: Email List Photo Shares <pictures@matronics.com> > > > A new Email List Photo Share is available: > > Poster: Ellery Batchelder Jr <ElleryWeld@aol.com> > > Lists: Kolb-List,Ultralight-List > > Subject: REBUILD on ORIGINAL FIRESTAR > > http://www.matronics.com/photoshare/ElleryWeld@aol.com.08.13.2005/index.html > > > o Main Photo Share Index > > http://www.matronics.com/photoshare > > o Submitting a Photo Share > > If you wish to submit a Photo Share of your own, please include the > following information along with your email message and files: > > 1) Email List or Lists that they are related to: > 2) Your Full Name: > 3) Your Email Address: > 4) One line Subject description: > 5) Multi-line, multi-paragraph description of topic: > 6) One-line Description of each photo or file: > > Email the information above and your files and photos to: > > pictures@matronics.com > >


    Message 10


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    Time: 12:05:21 PM PST US
    From: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com>
    Subject: Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available!
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com> | | Lists: Kolb-List,Ultralight-List | | Subject: REBUILD on ORIGINAL FIRESTAR Ellery/Gang: Looks good. How about some longer gear legs and some 15.00 X 6 X 6 tires??? john h DO NOT ARCHIVE


    Message 11


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    Time: 12:43:51 PM PST US
    From: "Jim Baker" <jlbaker@telepath.com>
    Subject: Re: Twin Engine Firestar 2
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "Jim Baker" <jlbaker@telepath.com> > P.S. To be fair: When it worked, it was very powerful, easily 20- 25% > better performance over a 503, but it simply isn't reliable, and > there's no one nearby that can help diagnose it and repair it. My non-injected 2704 has been cooking along for 460 hours with one set of plugs changed... and that's it! After watching the boys from Benningen work on one of the first injected F30s at Oshkosh a few years back, I decided against that route since they wouldn't give the injection/timing mapping software to anyone, nor the Flash ROM writer. Jim Baker 580.788.2779 '71 SV, 492TC Elmore City, OK


    Message 12


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    Time: 12:46:02 PM PST US
    From: "Jim Baker" <jlbaker@telepath.com>
    Subject: Twin Engine Firestar 2
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "Jim Baker" <jlbaker@telepath.com> > If each of those engines is twice as likely to have a problem > you are up to 4 times Statistically, it doesn't work that way. Multivariate entities are not that arithmatically simple. Jim Baker 580.788.2779 '71 SV, 492TC Elmore City, OK


    Message 13


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    Time: 01:36:08 PM PST US
    From: "PATRICK LADD" <pj.ladd@btinternet.com>
    Subject: Re: Twin Engine Firestar 2
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "PATRICK LADD" <pj.ladd@btinternet.com> more then quadrupling your odds of an engine out, Hi, I dont really follow the mathematics of that. Its rather like the idea that if you are afraid of there being a bomb on your flight you should take a bomb with you. The chances of there being two bombs on your flight a statistically very poor indeed.. Cheers Pat do not archive --


    Message 14


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    Time: 01:44:29 PM PST US
    From: "PATRICK LADD" <pj.ladd@btinternet.com>
    Subject: Re: the 447 - Part Two
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "PATRICK LADD" <pj.ladd@btinternet.com> Very funny. Part 3 ? Pat do not archive --


    Message 15


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    Time: 02:10:13 PM PST US
    From: ElleryWeld@aol.com
    Subject: Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available!
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: ElleryWeld@aol.com Thanks John H. I am hoping to meet you one of these days You inspire me and I am going to try and make it to the Kolb Homecoming but it will be a long trip for me but I am looking at it as a bunch of short trips and I have faith in the Kolb planes I got a chance to try her out today and did a bunch of landings & take offs only had to make a small adjustment in aleron controll linkage I am headed north tomorrow morning to one of the smallest flyins in Maine but one of the most fun ones Original Firestar Plus :o) She flys again Ellery Batchelder Jr In Maine Do Not Archive


    Message 16


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    Time: 02:40:23 PM PST US
    From: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com>
    Subject: Long XC in Original FS
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com> I | am going to try and make it to the Kolb Homecoming but it will be a long trip | for me but I am looking at it as a bunch of short trips and I have faith in | the Kolb planes | Ellery Batchelder Jr Ellery B/All: Super!!! Some of the most memorable flights I made were way back in the beginning, flying the Ultrastar and original Firestar. As the matter of fact, for those new guys that do not know, my original FS made two flights to the NE US in 1988 and 1989. Powered with the point ign 447. It was a blast. All navigation back then was pilotage and ded reckoning, mag compass and sectional. Navigation, fuel management were enough to keep you on your toes most of the time. Yes, I did get a little misoriented a few times. One more reason, back then, to carry 18 gal of fuel on an UL. Cross country flights are a series of short hops tied together over a period of time. Good luck. I am rooting for you to safely make that flight to the Kolb Homecoming!!! john h MKIII/912ULS Titus, Alabama


    Message 17


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    Time: 02:45:11 PM PST US
    From: "John Williamson" <kolbrapilot2@comcast.net>
    Subject: Website Update
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "John Williamson" <kolbrapilot2@comcast.net> I just finished uploading my website update to cover this last little jaunt up to Leadville, Colorado. (Address down below) John Williamson Arlington, TX Kolb Kolbra, Rotax 912ULS, 909 hours http://home.comcast.net/~kolbrapilot do not archive


    Message 18


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    Time: 03:32:01 PM PST US
    From: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com>
    Subject: Re: Website Update
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com> | I just finished uploading my website update to cover this last little jaunt | up to Leadville, Colorado. (Address down below) | | John Williamson Hi John W/All: Great flight and photos. Did you get your Leadville Airport Landing Certificate? john h DO NOT ARCHIVE


    Message 19


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    Time: 04:36:12 PM PST US
    From: "Beauford" <beauford@tampabay.rr.com>
    Subject: Re: the 447 - Part Two
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "Beauford" <beauford@tampabay.rr.com> Pat... Don't make fun of us... this ain't easy (as they say in South Texas...) Part 3 will be early tomorrow AM when I try once again to run-in this stupid little Nazi engine... Near as I can tell, all is in readiness for the event. Spent 8 hours out there on the griddle today, re-hanging the engine, doing an overhaul of the wiring harness, fuel system, etc. Ambient temp was 98F in the shade alongside the ugly Kolb trailer... I will not repeat the mistake of taking the thermometer tomorrow... too much of a morale killer... Thanks to you Brits, however, recovery is now at hand... I just mixed an enormous London Gin and tonic over crushed ice, with half a key lime from the tree in the back yard wrung-out over the top... Next stop is sitting on a stool in the cool shower drinking it through a straw for 30 minutes or so... That therapy commences as soon as I finish this note... God Save The Queen...! Cheers Right back at'cha... Freshly Baked Beauford Do not archive ----- Original Message ----- From: "PATRICK LADD" <pj.ladd@btinternet.com> Subject: Re: Kolb-List: the 447 - Part Two > --> Kolb-List message posted by: "PATRICK LADD" <pj.ladd@btinternet.com> > > Very funny. Part 3 ? > > Pat > > do not archive > > > -- > > >


    Message 20


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    Time: 05:01:06 PM PST US
    From: "Kirk Smith" <snuffy@usol.com>
    Subject: Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available!
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "Kirk Smith" <snuffy@usol.com> That's one snappy lookin bird Ellery.......:>) Do not archive


    Message 21


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    Time: 07:01:57 PM PST US
    From: ElleryWeld@aol.com
    Subject: Re: [ Ellery Batchelder Jr ] : New Email List Photo Share Available!
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: ElleryWeld@aol.com Thanks Kirk I had another chance to fly this evening after the wind stoped air smoothed out and cooled down a bit and the only problem I seem to have was when I try to fly at faster speeds 70 to 80 MPH I had to apply quite a bit of left pressure on the stick to keep it level in flight, but at lower speeds its not really a problem I have adjusted aleron linkeage a few times and cant seem to figure out what it needs I will keep trying to adjust but mabe if anyone else has had this same problem they would let me know of a fix for this , Thanks in advance if you can help But that Trim controll I have added to the elevator works real slick I setup and landed a few landings using that Ellery in Maine Original Firestar Plus do not archive


    Message 22


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    Time: 07:35:37 PM PST US
    From: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com>
    Subject: Firestar Adverse Roll
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com> I have adjusted aleron linkeage a few times and cant seem to | figure out what it needs Ellery/All: Adjusting aileron linkage to correct adverse roll will not work. All you are doing is displacing the control stick position laterally. I used aileron trim tab on my right aileron to fly it up and correct the adverse roll my Firestar had to the left. On my MKIII, occassionally, I will have an adverse roll problem. I correct this with a bungy cord trim tab I can slide up and down the control stick to add and decrease lateral pressure to keep the airplane trimmed out in roll attitude. Take care, john h MKIII/912ULS Titus, Alabama


    Message 23


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    Time: 08:07:23 PM PST US
    From: ElleryWeld@aol.com
    Subject: Re: Firestar Adverse Roll
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: ElleryWeld@aol.com I dont think they make a bungie cord that will be strong enough for this one But a ground adjustable trim tab would probably work ok but I would have to set it for what ever speed I would like to travel at and hope it wouldnt make my controll go the other way on slow flight now you got me thinking about making an inflight trim controll on the aileron that I can reach from the seat outside the cockpit Original firestar Plus Ellery Batchelder Jr. do not archive


    Message 24


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    Time: 08:20:21 PM PST US
    From: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com>
    Subject: Re: Firestar Adverse Roll
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "John Hauck" <jhauck@elmore.rr.com> | set it for what ever speed I would like to travel at and hope it wouldnt make my | controll go the other way on slow flight | Ellery Batchelder Jr. Ellery/All: I made my trim tabs for aileron and elevator for my original FS out of .016 6061T6 aluminum sheet. Set both of them for cruise speed, 5,800 rpm. Lucked out. The little FS stayed trimmed up in roll and pitch through out its speed range. Also had one on the rudder, IIRC. CRS is hell. I'd have to go back and find some old photos to confirm the rudder trim tab. hehehe john h MKIII/912ULS Titus, Alabama


    Message 25


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    Time: 09:15:50 PM PST US
    From: "Christopher Armstrong" <tophera@centurytel.net>
    Subject: Twin Engine Firestar 2
    --> Kolb-List message posted by: "Christopher Armstrong" <tophera@centurytel.net> Statistically, it doesn't work that way. Multivariate entities are not that arithmatically simple. Well, here is how it I think it works, statistically: Probability of an engine failure is number of engine failures/number of flights. Using the Multiplication Theorem for Independent Events If the events A and B are independent then P(AB) = P(A)* P(B). So if one engine fails 1 time in every 1000 flights both engine will fail once every 100000 flights. SO this is good. But how often will one of the two engines fail? Here we need to use the Addition Rule If the event A1, A2, ..., An are pairwise mutually exclusive events then P(A1+ A2+ ...+An)= P(A1)+P(A2)+ ...+P(An) So if the first engine fails once in every 1000 flights, and the second engine fails once in every 1000 flights together they will fail 2 times in 1000 flight, or twice as often. If the probability of each engine failing moves to once in every 500 flights, then for 2 of them it is 2 times in every 500 flights. One rotax 503 at 1/1000 versus two Hirths at 2/500 is 4 times as much. So what do you think is wrong with my math? As to the real twin engine data, do they actually fail twice as often. Probability is that they do, and the data supports it, but the second engine does keep the plane from crashing often enough that accident rates due to engine failures are lower for twins. This assumes of course that the engines have the same failure rate. If you add in a higher failure rate for the twins engines then you are going to be somewhat less well off then just going from a single to a twin. Here is a clip of some data from avweb: "For the group of light twins we looked at, mechanical failures of the engine or propeller were responsible for One about 3% of all accidents. Breaking that down, 15.3% of all accidents were due to mechanical failures, and 20.8% of those involved the engine or propeller. In contrast, roughly 8% of all accidents in high-performance singles were attributed to engine or propeller failure: 17% of accidents were mechanicals, but nearly 50% of those involved the engine or prop. The statistics showed that a light twin is about equally likely to have a mechanical-caused accident as a high-performance single. But the twin's mechanical problem is most likely to be gear-related while the single's is most likely to be engine/prop-related. A single is about two-and-a-half times more likely to have an accident due to engine/prop failure than a twin (8% versus 3%). And if we assume that a twin is twice as likely to have an engine/prop failure (since it has twice as many to fail), then we can conclude that an engine/prop failure in a single is five times more likely to result in an accident than an engine/prop failure in a twin. So are you any safer flying a light twin than a high-performance single? In terms of the overall and serious accident rates, the answer seems clearly to be no. But your risk profile changes somewhat: in the twin, you're less likely to be hurt by an engine failure, and more likely to be victimized by something else." http://www.avweb.com/news/airman/184438-1.html this is some interesting reading... in part it says: "Have you ever wondered why a manufacturer puts more engines on an airframe? There are many people who think that it's for safety; that a twin is safer than a single. After all, if one engine fails, well, you just keep on flying on the remaining one, right? No. When one engine on a twin fails, you don't lose half of your excess thrust, you typically lose 80% to 90% of your excess thrust, which means that if you were climbing at 1200 fpm with both engines, if you configure and fly the aircraft perfectly after an engine failure, you will likely see around 200 fpm, which is pretty bad. Most light twins, when operated anywhere near gross weight, have very marginal single-engine performance, and are very intolerant of pilot error in achieving a positive rate of climb. A non-turbocharged twin will typically have a single-engine service ceiling of around 5000 foot density altitude. So, an engine failure in cruise in summer means you're likely going to descend. And remember, with two engines, you're twice as likely to have an engine failure." http://avstop.com/Technical/twins.htm another interesting technical chat about twins




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